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Friday,August 13th, 2010 - A limited correction, however will it continue being limited? by Tim Carson





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Friday,August 13th, 2010 - A limited correction, however will it continue being limited? by
Article Posted: 08/16/2010
Article Views: 298
Articles Written: 95
Word Count: 326
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Friday,August 13th, 2010 - A limited correction, however will it continue being limited?


 
Writing
The Euro broke the help specified in yesterday’s report 1.2869, and dropped as expected, “virtually” reaching the primary instructed target 1.2775, as it stopped just 5 pips before it, to move 550 pips away from last Friday’s “Jobs-report-prime”. We've got commented on the retest case which passed off after the Fed’s statement Tuesday night by saying: “it is a well-known technical principle that such an correct retest confirms the break it followed, and the brand new course, which is down on this case. Trying at the hooked up chart, we will see that: 1. the rising trend line was damaged decisively and 2. the worth retested this line in an accurate fashion. These are obvious indication of a falling trend. Due to this fact, unless the value goes back as much as commerce above the broken development line, we count on extra downside activity.” At the moment, there may be extra to speak about technically; there is a complete 5-wave count for the rise from 1.1875, however does it mean that the uptrend is over?

Also, there's not one but 2 channels on the day by day chart. The primary (proven in RED on the attached chart), combining the tops of the waves 1 & three, which was damaged on Tuesday. The second channel (shown in BLACK on the attached chart) combines the tops of waves three & 5, and was broken yesterday. The worth is attempting to return back inside it, however till this very moment it's nonetheless trading beneath it. Resistance is at 1.2922, and in case it is broken, this may imply we're again again contained in the second channel. On this case, the Euro will continue constructing a correction for this large drop, which is able to ideally target 1.3003 and 1.3074. On the other hand, the help defending yesterday’s backside is 1.2853, and if damaged we'll goal the same target set as we did yesterday: 1.2775 & 1.2681.

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