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From an economic development perspective, the fourth quarter of 2012, China's economy has finally emerged tended to stabilize, but the economic stability of the foundation is not strong, is expected in 2013 or even longer, China's economy will remain stable, compared withthe fast development momentum. Expected based on the above, it is expected that the China steel will enter a stage of total consumption of low growth, the domestic steel market in 2013 will show a slight price fluctuations, a stable trend of the overall operation, including iron and steel enterprise meager profit situation is difficult to be effective in improving. The world economy continued weakness result in international steel prices fall, affecting China's steel imports and exports. International Steel City, a drop in demand a direct impact on China's steel exports.In 2012, the weak international economy, international steel trade has shrunk dramatically intensified trade protection and trade friction, in October last year, China's exports of billet 5.14 million tons, 1-October total exports of 40.84 million tons. November, December remained practically monthly 400 million -500 million tons of export levels, and this trend continued until at least the middle of next year. This also shows that within the next two years, the balance between supply and demand of China's steel market depends mainly on the domestic market, and look forward to expanding exports to ease the pressure on the domestic market is unrealistic. On the other hand, from the domestic point of view, the next time there is still a lot of uncertainties, but overall, in terms of domestic demand, the urbanization of the 48 put forward, people's living standards improve requirements from the ability of the consumer spending habits popularity continue to promote home appliances and consumer conditions, the industry's long-term growth space still exist. From the outside, we need to look at the international market environment is relatively stable, the recovery in demand in the United States, Europe stabilized, the Afro-Asian emerging market demand remains strong, the demand on the international market will remain basically the trend this year, is expected to export growth is expected to be flat with last year. There will be a greater demand from the machinery industry point of view, the special properties of the steel products. The machinery industry demand for steel diversity, both ordinary steel, another high-value-added special steel. Currently, there is part of the special properties of the steel restricting the development of China's machinery industry, the much-needed iron and steel enterprises in research and development of these varieties of steel. Such as electrical equipment industry, some transformer oriented silicon steel, power station boiler heat steel, special steel pipe and other special welding electrodes for steel and other special steel imports; wear plate (thickness required and if the heavy machinery industry from 30mm ~ 120mm), special welding wire, bearing steel, etc.; Another example is General machinery manufacturing, material not only has a certain mechanical strength, but also have some of the resistance to chemical corrosion, wear and other special performance. Comprehensive analysis, expected in 2013 Chinese steel production and apparent consumption increase, it will not reach a high level, still low growth, is still the total consumption, low-growth stage; 2013 domestic the steel market will show a small price fluctuations, the overall running stable trend, including iron and steel enterprise meager profit situation will improve.
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