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The Day the Internet Search Engines Stopped Growing! by kaitlin ertha





Article Author Biography
The Day the Internet Search Engines Stopped Growing! by
Article Posted: 02/23/2012
Article Views: 45
Articles Written: 1826
Word Count: 1369
Article Votes: 0
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The Day the Internet Search Engines Stopped Growing!


 
Business
A fascinating factor happened today found on the option to this informative article.
The story here was not planned, very it was noticed.

An amazing and strange event appears to have happened inside January
and February of 2003. In those early months of 2003, the major
search engines quit growing, and limited people appear to actually care.

THE DISCOVERY

After an thorough five hr search operating the best and
brightest spider search engines and a host of search key words,
the most up-to-date numbers I might find for the "Few
Searches Performed Per Day", or every year for which thing, for any
search engine was completed by Search Engine Watch inside February of
2003. And inside that issue, Danny Sullivan the editor of Search
Engine Watch had his numbers authoritatively from the powers-
that-be at every search engine firm.

The international February 2003 "Searches Per Day" numbers for all
the listed search engines added up 625 million. For just the
United States, the numbers from January 2003 destroyed 319 million
searches per day.
http://searchenginewatch.com/reports/article.php/2156461

Apparently, I feel not alone inside the finding which active numbers
just are unavailable. Every reference to "Searches Per Day"
that I managed to yield pointed to the February 2003
numbers, or the numbers of a previous month.

I did discover a limited people lamenting the fact which up-to-date
numbers were unavailable, but these people were limited and far
between.

I was at a loss. Never before, when I undertook to locate specific
information found on the web, have I ever appear empty passed! I am
still astonished.

THE TOOLS

Still interested inside the say of online searching, I devised a
plan to find up-to-date numbers which I might use to raised
understand the value of the search engines inside my daily marketing
activities.

Thank God for the Wayback Machine, Alexa and Google!

AN OVERVIEW

I understand it would appear which I feel simply throwing numbers available
for anyone to read, but the following numbers will come inside handy to
help anyone to recognize my methodologies and formulas.

THE BASIC METHODOLOGY

Internet World Stats shows which as of 2005 there are more
than 817 million people online, with 218 million of these people
being from North America.
http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

The same website showed 607 million international users inside 2003, 25% fewer
users than inside 2005.
[http://web.archive.org/web/20030605032454/]
http://internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

I will now change to http://Alexa.com. Alexa reports are
notoriously skewed, actually by Alexa's own admission. Let's face
it, Alexa merely divines their results from the people which use
the Alexa toolbar. And, the individuals which use the Alexa toolbar
are mostly entrepreneurs and webmasters.

Whois.sc shows there are currently 49 million domains
registered world-wide. http://www.whois.sc/internet-statistics/

In 2001, ZookNIC stated which the five largest domain name holders
possess 8.7% of all subscribed domains. That value probably has
not moved downward over the last 2 years.
http://www.zooknic.com/Domains/top_holders.html

So, around four.2 million domains are held by five companies! This
leaves 45 million domains held by all but five businesses. Given
the number of people who I understand which possess a normal of 5
domains every (I have nearly 20 myself), I would love to take which
number down further to an estimate of 25 million domain name
holders of these 45 million domains.

To spin this yet another way, I would simply be onto something. Alexa
has had simply over 10 million people download their toolbar.
[http://pages.alexa.com/company/index.html] And figuring further
that less than 1/3rd of the webmasters would know what Alexa
is, which too would put the amount of webmasters at about 25
million people.

With 25 million webmasters and 817 million users, the ratio would
indicate which 3.6% of the total users are webmasters.

PROBLEMS WITH YAHOO'S OWN PUBLIC FIGURES

Interestingly, Yahoo's claims which they had merely 1.9 million page
views per day inside March of 2003 and 2.4 million visitors per day
since March of 2004.

[http://web.archive.org/web/20040216162938/]

http://docs.yahoo.com/info/pr/faq.html

Alexa shows which Yahoo! has been receiving visits from 300,000
unique people online, for every million users
consistently for the last 2 years. Alexa also shows which Yahoo!
has always been serving 12.9 visitors per customer over the
same time period.

With 817 million people currently online, Yahoo!is knocking
down 245 million users a day. So, the Alexa numbers would appear
to indicate which Yahoo! is drawing over 3.1 million page
views per day, JUST from the Alexa userbase inside 2005. The same
indicators would put Yahoo! visitors at 2.3 million visitors
per day inside 2003.

http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details?
q=&url=http://www.yahoo.com/

We have determined which around merely 3.6% of the
internet's userbase is utilizing the Alexa software! Granted, Alexa's
userbase is more active than the remainder internet's
users, but it seems that Yahoo! is expecting us to believe
that Alexa users are Yahoo's just users.

GOOGLE NUMBERS ARE KEY TO GETTING THE REAL NUMBERS

For a lot of the last 2 years, Google has been serving 13
thousand Alexa users for every million users. This breaks down to
7.7 million tourist a day. And, over the last 6 months, Google
has edged up to 18 1000 per million, or around 14.7
million tourist per day. And again, Alexa merely tabulates
the activity of 3.6% of the full variety users.

We furthermore understand from Alexa's Google analysis which the average number
of visitors per customer is 5.2, and we furthermore understand which the 1st
page view at Google is no search. Thus, we will properly
assume which the average Google customer does four.2 search queries. This
carries onto display which Google does a normal of 62 million
queries a day from Alexa users alone.

THE BRASS TACKS

Since Alexa users merely are the reason for 3.6% of the total online
userbase, that individuals are among the most active people
on the online, we would assume which they are the reason for a
disproportionately excellent number of the actual "Searches Per Day"
served.

As the worst case scenario for the search engine neighbors, let us
take the Alexa values and increase the numbers by15. This would
assume which Alexa users are the reason for 54% of all search queries
done.

And then we are going to take the same numbers and increase them by 27
(100 split by 3.6 and rounded down) --- the best case scenario
which is the fact that Alexa is completely and completely representative of
the real-world online.

CURRENT SEARCH ENGINE MARKET SHARES

In February of 2005, Nielsen/NetRatings recommended which Google
delivers 47% of all search engine queries, and Yahoo! provides
21% of the queries.
http://www.nielsen-netratings.com/pr/pr_050228.pdf

47% goes in 100% around 2.13 occasions. I will use the 2.13 number
to determine the count of searches worldwide served, based
on the Google search question numbers that I believe to be really
close to accurate.

GETTING THE ACTUAL NUMBERS BASED ON THE KNOWN VARIABLES

- Google's WORST Case Scenario -

* 62 million Alexa queries occasions 15 = 930 million queries daily

- Google's BEST Case Scenario -

* 62 million Alexa queries occasions 27 = 1.67 million queries daily

- Global Search Queries WORST Case Scenario -

* Estimated Google Queries ~ 930 million occasions 2.13 = 2.139
billion total estimated queries daily

- Global Search Queries BEST Case Scenario -

* Estimated Google Queries ~ 1.67 million occasions 2.13 = 3.557

billion total estimated queries daily

- Yahoo's WORST Case Scenario -

* 2.139 million total estimated queries daily occasions 21% marketplace
share = 449 million estimated Yahoo queries daily

* 3.1 million visitors occasions 15 = 46.5 million daily page views

- Yahoo's BEST Case Scenario -

* 3.557 million total estimated queries daily occasions 21% marketplace
share = 747 million estimated Yahoo queries daily

* 3.1 million visitors occasions 27 = 83.7 million daily page views

It has been noted very frequently inside the last months which the
new roll-out of Yahoo! Search is creating big surf inside the actual
search results served by Yahoo. While this might be real, their
overall visitors have not changed very much over the last 2
years. So, it would appear which Yahoo! is actually thriving merely
to cannibalize their own visitors.

IN CONCLUSION

If you can easily trust my methodologies as well as the resources which I have
uncovered, then you can certainly trust which after a long 2 year silence
that we finally have some trustworthy "Searches Per Day" numbers
that we can in fact rely on.

If we want to comment on any of my methodologies or
calculations, then please feel complimentary to visit my website
and use my contact page to achieve me.


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