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Labor prices will not make toys and other exports of short-term loss of benefits by wqegtf rebr





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Labor prices will not make toys and other exports of short-term loss of benefits by
Article Posted: 06/07/2011
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Articles Written: 1372
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Labor prices will not make toys and other exports of short-term loss of benefits


 
Business,Business News,Business Opportunities
People more from the southeast coastal areas in recent years, the labor shortage on the supply of labor force experience had changed, with echoes, the topic of rising labor costs naturally lead to more and more attention. In the March 17, held in Beijing, the China Development Forum 2007 Annual Meeting of the academic summit, in "Towards a new mode of growth of China" under the theme of this large, labor and economic growth factors because of the close relationship between a can not avoid the hot spots. Relative to the pessimists fear of labor rise on the weakening competitiveness of the participating scholars are more optimistic: For China, in the short term, with unlimited supply of labor began to shift from the relatively short, even in the cheap labor industries, wage growth does not directly translate into loss of competitiveness.

The era of unlimited labor supply to an end?

Just finished a national survey of rural surplus labor in rural areas the State Council's Development Research Center of the Minister Han Jun, announced a surprise conclusion to his: supply and demand of rural labor force is from the long-term "surplus" to "both the surplus is inadequate," in the past that people often refer to the "China still 100 million or more than 100 million rural surplus labor force" of the "immortals data" is not scientific.

"We used to say that is a serious surplus of rural labor, rural surplus labor is a reservoir of infinite supply, this situation is undergoing major changes. Can be described as both the surplus is inadequate." Han Jun that that surplus rural labor force refers to the total, in time, is surplus. He cited research in Sichuan province when a local leader of the statement, indicating the so-called 100 million rural surplus labor, mainly according to still remain in the rural elderly, women count for the remaining time does not mean there are so many rural can be transferred to non-agricultural labor force.

"So, we observe changes in the labor force, not just look at the total, but also the structure. From the structure, the performance of the rural labor shortage is getting worse. First, there is an increasing shortage of skilled labor supply. Second, the age of 30 young rural labor force, development of manufacturing industries in these cities need most important labor supply more and more inadequate. "Han Jun said. Han Jun

with the statement in the same topic the other two experts, Professor at Harvard University Dwight? Perkins and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Institute of Population and Labor Economics Cai "P, also showed similar results. Perth Gold The study found that, for China, in 1997 a "turning point." past, economists have been very popular view, those who hold this view believe that the developing countries with surplus labor wages in the search for a "turning point" that a country has a surplus labor force is no longer a turning point. This means the surface, China's labor force may no longer be redundant.

Explained by economic theory, supply to reduce the consequences of a possible prices. As one of the elements of the labor market, naturally no exception. Scholars have found that, in terms of macro or micro perspective, the 20th century only 80 of China's wages subject to the limited impact of market forces, but the late 90s in the 20th century, the Chinese have entered a new era of wage growth, average wage levels are presented an upward trend.

The short term will not lose its competitive edge

Labor costs to competitive industry the possible negative effects, pessimists worry. Perkins, in his report that "they are worried about rising wages in their countries will not only rely on cheap labor in the main sectors (such as textiles, footwear, toys and consumer electronics assembly industry), the loss of advantages, but also because not ready from the labor-intensive industries to rely more on capital, advanced technology and high-tech industries in transition, Er Shi talent economic damage. "

This is a concern worthy of attention, but the reality may not be so bad. Cai "P believes that the Chinese economy does not lose in the short term comparative advantage of abundant labor and thus labor-intensive industries in the international competitiveness. Because if labor is not artificial but real increase reflects the labor shortage is the natural endowment of production factors change the results, then not only does not hinder competitiveness, but by promoting the growth pattern, improve long-term competitiveness and sustainability of growth.

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