China's "11" National Day holiday period, the domestic market closed, continuing a week stop plate, the outer disk normal transactions, in view of the domestic U.S. Soybean and bean up to 90% of the relevant external disk will have to reflect the trend of the week to the first domestic postganglionic Change the day of trading, investors in the wrong direction if the left position, are facing great risk. 2008 "11" after the soybean price for 3 consecutive limit-down, then half of the decline continued the trend of soybean, fell 3,000 yuan from 4,000 yuan mark, resulting in heavy losses for many investors.
2000 to the present, over the years the U.S. beans, "11" during the ups and downs and Soybean "11" Festival on the first day of ups and downs compared
"11" period, the external disk to continue trading, CBOT Soybean Price fundamental decisions of domestic soybean price ups and downs of the first trading day after the holiday. Since 2000 through "11" the day after the close of the first day of ups and downs Soybean prices data analysis, a total of 9 years, 6 years, opening day was down Soybean, of which 2007, 2008, decreases in Soybean deep, other years, the National Soybean Price after small compared to the smooth outer disk.
2000 to 2008's "11" period, in 2007 and 2008 U.S. soybean trend has changed dramatically, the risk is higher. 2007 "11" during the dollar's rally, weak crude oil prices and U.S. soybean seasonal harvest pressure, resulting in U.S. soybean prices fell 5.13%, led Soybean postganglionic crash. 2008 "11" period, by the subprime crisis, the dollar index rose to 13 month high and the high impact of the U.S. soybean stocks, U.S. beans dropped 16% below the 1000 cents / bushel, driving for 3 days after the National Soybean down limit.
U.S. beans, "11" during the ups and downs and Soybean "11" after the first day of ups and downs
Can be seen from the table, the U.S. beans, "11" the basic trend during the first day of the decision of the Soybean Festival on opening of the price change, if the U.S. set the trend stationary, then the Soybean Festival on less volatile; if U.S. beans fall, then followed the collapse Soybean Council, so China's National Day, the main risk comes from the United States and beans, "11," the trend during the period.
Soybean "11" before and after the law of fluctuations in prices and transactions Soybean prices
analysis of "11" before and after the law of price fluctuations, we have statistics since 2000, a year of "11" vacation time as the center, one month before and after the interception of the soybean data, the soybean price movements and Volatility graphics, by building the data graph to analyze soybean prices, "11" before and after the ups and downs and volatility rule.
Shown in Figure 1, through the study found that "11" the week before, often rising soybean prices, "11" after the significant dip in the oscillation adjustment after a week later, another large pulled up. Volatility, in view of risk aversion, soybean prices in the "11" before the less volatile, "11" post with speculation rife again significantly increased volatility.
Since 2000 based on "11" before and after the soybean positions and turnover statistics, shown in Figure 2, soybean positions and big variations in trading volume before and after National Day. "11" the first two days, significantly reduced soybean positions, it is not difficult to understand, in order to avoid risk, investors in the sidelines before the holiday choices increased significantly; "11", the soybean positions changed greatly, As investors re-admission, positions fluctuate significantly. Trading volume, "11" about a week before, began to reduce the volume of soybean, "11", the soybean trading volume is back up to the level before the holidays.
U.S. beans, "11," Analysis of the important factors during the
"11" period, the trend of U.S. beans are the main factors and the yield of U.S. soybean harvest in South America soybean planting, the U.S. agricultural report October monthly report is expected to supply and demand, crude oil prices, the dollar index, policy changes, economic operation, etc. situation. I am an expert from China Hardware Suppliers, usually analyzes all kind of industries situation, such as connect computer to stereo , hdmi cable maximum length.
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