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Russia's military aircraft industry: overview and outlook - China Hotel Shampoo Bottle by airbru airbru





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Russia's military aircraft industry: overview and outlook - China Hotel Shampoo Bottle by
Article Posted: 02/11/2013
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Russia's military aircraft industry: overview and outlook - China Hotel Shampoo Bottle


 
Business,Business News,Business Opportunities
During the round table discussion regarding the current state andthe process of re-equipment and the prospects of the Russian AirForce Konstantin Makienko, deputy director of the Center forAnalysis of Strategies and Technologies, presented his report onthe prospects of producing military aviation equipment for exportand the use by the Russian Air Force. The leading tendency of the next ten years will be thereorientation of the aviation industry from exports to the internalmarket. According to Makienko, it is linked to the drastic increaseof the volume of aviation equipment purchased for the Russian AirForce as well as the expected concurrent drop in the externaldemand. The drop in exports will be primarily driven by the end of theChinese purchase orders and the saturation of the Indian marketwhere the Su-30 MKI program has passed its peak. Besides India, the demand will center around South-East Asia, butnaturally that size of that export will be quite smaller than theprocurement for the Russian Air Force and the Naval aviation, aswell as the huge Chinese and Indian contracts of the late 1990s-early 2000s.

At the same time in the event the necessary political decisions aremade and the escalation of the Il-476 project Russia's reentry tothe Chinese market is possible. For that purpose the Chinese Air Force and Navy should be offeredattack aircraft with a high anti-ship potential, such as modernizedTu-22M3 and Su-32/34. Besides that, if the Il-476 project shows positive dynamics in thenext couple of years, one can hope for the restoration of the 2005contract to purchase 38 Il-76/78 that was not fulfilled due to anumber of financial and production related reasons. The drop in external demand will be well compensated by theprocurement for the Russian Air Force and the Navy. Over the lastfew months, orders have been placed for 92 Su-34 fighter-bombers,24 MiG-29K carrier-based fighter aircraft and 30 Su-30 CMmultipurpose fighter aircraft.

According to some sources, the State Rearmament Program 2020envisions the acquisition of 600 tactical aviation aircraft. In such circumstances producing a long-term strategy of developingthe aviation industry after 2020 when the current 2020 programexpires, becomes a matter of principle. With the current state of things in 2020 Russia will have only twocompetitive products with a good commercial potential - that is theT-50 heavy fighter and a family of trainer/light attack aircraftbased on Yak-130. It appears that the development of the Russian aviation industryduring this planning period will largely depend on the ability tosolve two main tasks in the near future.

The first task is todevelop a competitive product (for the period after 2020) in thesegment of commercial aviation. The second task is to develop a relatively simple and inexpensivecombat aviation complex, or a "light" fighter plane that would beable to effectively compete with F-35. Source: Voice of Russia.

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